Skip to main content
(727) 851-6189
Coldwell Banker

Category Archives: Florida News

AMENDMENT FOUR VOTE NO!

access_time

The Saturday TAMPA TRIBUNE came out with a strong, well-written objection to Amendment 4.

Suggest you forward this to every Florida voter you know — and SOON!

And come to FGCAR HQ to pick up some yard signs, bumper stickers, and postcard-sized flyers to distribute.

http://www2.tbo.com/content/2010/oct/02/co-a-power-you-should-not-want/news-opinion-editorials/

A power you should not want

The Tampa Tribune

Published: October 2, 2010

Approval of Amendment 4 would give voters new power to reject local land-use plans at the ballot box. The motive of supporters of this ill-conceived change to the constitution is to make growth decisions more democratic.

Having to vote on every land-use change would slow down economic growth without guaranteeing neighborhoods any real protection from the encroachments they fear most.

The amendment is supported by a group called Hometown Democracy, whose name is itself a false promise. Your home community would have only a minority voice in countywide and citywide land-use decisions.

Under the existing system, community groups have a big impact when they show up in force at public hearings to lobby for their interests. If Amendment 4 is passed, concerned citizens would be faced with organizing a countywide campaign to sway a majority of voters.

If the issue were, for example, where to put a tent city for the homeless, most people wouldn’t care as long as it wasn’t near them. Some of the hottest growth disputes involve rezonings and compatibility issues that wouldn’t be affected by passing Amendment 4, but many more complicated decisions would go on the ballot.

The biggest flaw in requiring everyone to vote on a bewildering list of land-use issues is the difficulty of educating the public. The loudest voices you would hear explaining things would not always be trustworthy.

The assumption that we the people are always smarter than our elected representatives isn’t true on issues requiring lots of homework, such as the proper level of service for rural areas, the right size for setbacks, where to put a new school, and the proper density for a transit-oriented development.

It is hard to imagine how a 20-page, highly technical land-use issue could be reduced to 75 words or less on the ballot. It is even harder to imagine a majority of voters wading in deep enough to understand it and get it right.

We don’t think passage of Amendment 4 would solve any of the legitimate complaints of its supporters.

The Legislature each session comes up with bills designed to weaken growth rules. Passing Amendment 4 would only inspire lawmakers to find more loopholes.

Some local elected officials are influenced by contributions from wealthy land owners and developers. In some jurisdictions growth plans are changed so frequently they lose their backbone. But voters should remember that Amendment 4 only gives veto power, not the power to make growth rules stronger.

Taxpayers in many areas have seen the costs of rampant growth shifted to them and away from those profiting from it. They have seen their roads become congested and their water supplies run low. But Amendment 4 promises no quick fix.

Developers might move their projects to remote areas where no one objects, and thus cause more sprawl and higher public costs.

Those in the stop-growth camp should understand that Amendment 4, while opposed strongly by business groups and city and county organizations, would not be a reliable roadblock to growth. Florida has some 300,000 empty houses and apartments, and many more projects have already won approval.

Amendment 4 seems more likely to discourage desirable new development than to stop the kinds of projects neighborhoods find objectionable. Companies are unlikely to pursue job-creating projects if they are faced with such a costly political hurdle.

In Hillsborough and its three cities, about 30 or 40 land-use changes are proposed each year. The process is time-consuming and deliberate. To add a public vote to each change would slow things down to the point that many developers would just give up and move to another state.

In any case, the unpredictability and expense of running everything past voters would be a significant barrier to progress.

It’s human nature to accept an offer of more power. But once every land-use change appears on the ballot, voters eventually will realize their mistake and repeal it. The best solution is to vote no on Amendment 4 before it brings the state costs and confusion we cannot afford.

Proposal: Property tax breaks for Gulf owners

access_time

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – June 9, 2010 –Gulf coast property owners impacted by the Deepwater Horizon oil spill could get a property tax break. Gov. Charlie Crist wants that issue to be discussed as part of a special session of the Florida Legislature that he hopes to call as early as next month.

Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink pushed Crist to embrace the tax reduction plan Tuesday as the governor and Cabinet heard presentations about the effects of the massive spill from BP, and state environmental, wildlife and revenue officials.

The economic impact of the spill – which a University of Central Florida economist estimates as potentially $2.2 billion to as much as $10 billion – is proving difficult to gauge.

“This is going to be an incredibly complex legal tangle to untangle, and to ensure that everybody is compensated fairly,” said Sink, who said she’s been advising businesses, individuals and city and county governments to carefully document losses stemming from the encroaching oil.

The tax-break proposal emerged in a joint letter to Crist from property appraisers in the Panhandle’s Santa Rosa and Escambia counties. They said that property owners are likely to endure a loss in value this year because of the spill but will face tax payments this fall based on assessments in place at the start of 2010.

“We are concerned for the taxpayers of our respective counties who are already struggling with the economic downturn and the resulting declining property values,” Gregory Brown, of Santa Rosa, and Chris Jones, of Escambia, told Crist. “When property values decline along the coast due to BP’s negligence, the affected citizens should be allowed some adjustment to their tax burden.”

Tinkering with property taxes is not new. Property tax relief has followed five disasters already, according to Lisa Echeverri, executive director of the state’s Revenue Department. The most recent property-tax break was issued to Central Florida counties battered by tornadoes in 2007.

But those relief efforts may have proved easier to implement. The 2007 legislation offered as much as $1,500 in property-tax reimbursements to residents whose houses were destroyed or heavily damaged in the tornadoes. By contrast, losses stemming from a lack of tourists coming to commercial properties or the diminished value of residential or vacant land may prove tougher to calculate, officials acknowledge.

Similarly, the loss of tax revenue to state and local government caused by the spill could require lawmakers to approve a scheme for distributing dollars coming from BP. The company Tuesday promised Florida another $25 million – on top of an earlier $25 million issued the state.

Crist has sought as much as $200 million from the company to offset damage, for advertising and continued coastal monitoring.

“We’re trying to figure out how the models may need to be adjusted,” Echeverri said of state revenue forecasts that could be shaken by the disaster. Economists were anticipating a $6 billion budget shortfall next year before the Gulf spill changed some variables.

Crist has been pushing lawmakers for a special session in order to create a proposed constitutional amendment to put on the November ballot that would ban oil drilling in Florida waters. So far, the call for a special session has been rejected by House leaders, including incoming House Speaker Dean Cannon (R-Winter Park).

Cannon sponsored legislation in 2009 that would have allowed drilling as close as three miles offshore and this spring conducted public hearings that minimized the risks of oil and gas exploration.

Crist also wants the special session to include a discussion on ways Florida can draw at least 20 percent of its energy needs from wind, solar and other renewable energy sources within 10 years.

But pulling temporary property tax relief into the session may finally give him an issue an otherwise reluctant, Republican-led Legislature can embrace this election year.

Florida’s existing home, condo sales rise in April

access_time

May 24, 2010 – Sales of existing homes in Florida rose 27 percent in April, which means that sales activity has increased in the year-to-year comparison for 20 months, according to the latest housing data released by Florida Realtors®. Another positive sign: Last month’s statewide existing-home median price of $140,100 was 1 percent higher than the statewide median price in April 2009.

Existing home sales rose 27 percent last month with a total of 16,781 homes sold statewide compared to 13,244 homes sold in April 2009, according to Florida Realtors. Statewide existing home sales last month increased nearly 3 percent over statewide sales activity in March. Meanwhile, April’s statewide existing-home median price was 2.3 percent higher than March’s statewide existing-home median price of $137,000. It marks the second month in a row that the statewide existing-home median price has increased over the previous month’s median.

“Buyers responding to the federal homebuyer tax credit before it expired helped to boost home sales across Florida,” said 2010 Florida Realtors President Wendell Davis, a broker with Watson Realty Corp. in Jacksonville. “And buying conditions remain favorable, with a variety of housing options available in local markets at attractive and affordable prices. Plus, current mortgage interest rates are at historically low levels, which gives buyers more ‘bang’ for their buck.”

Florida Realtors also reported a 55 percent increase in statewide sales of existing condos in April compared to the previous year’s sales figure; statewide existing condo sales last month rose 2 percent over the total units sold in March. Though April’s statewide existing-condo median price of $103,600 was down 3 percent compared to the year-ago figure, it was 6.9 percent higher than March’s statewide existing-condo median price.

Seventeen of Florida’s metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) reported increased existing home sales in April while all but one MSA had higher condo sales. A majority of the state’s MSAs have reported increased sales for 22 consecutive months.

Florida’s median sales price for existing homes last month was $140,100; a year ago, it was $138,100 for a 1 percent gain. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more, half for less.

The national median sales price for existing single-family homes in March 2010 was $170,700, up 0.6 percent from a year earlier, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR). In California, the statewide median resales price was $301,790in March; in Massachusetts, it was $280,000; in Maryland, it was $235,785; and in New York, it was $209,900.

According to NAR’s latest outlook, two trends are influencing a broader stabilization of home prices in housing markets across the nation: months of increased sales activity and lower levels of inventory. “Foreclosures have been feeding into the inventory pipeline at a fairly steady pace and are being absorbed manageably,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “With home values stabilizing, a revival in homebuying confidence will likely help the housing market get back on its feet even as the tax credit impact disappears.”

In Florida’s year-to-year comparison for condos, 7,291 units sold statewide last month compared to 4,703 units in April 2009 for an increase of 55 percent. The statewide existing condo median sales price last month was $103,600; in April 2009 it was $107,200 for a 3 percent decrease. The national median existing condo price was $170,600 in March, according to NAR.

Interest rates for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.10 percent in April, up from the average rate of 4.81 percent during the same month a year earlier, according to Freddie Mac. Florida Realtors’ sales figures reflect closings, which typically occur 30 to 90 days after sales contracts are written.

Among the state’s smaller markets, the Panama City MSA reported a total of 128 homes sold in April compared to 108 homes a year earlier for a 19 percent increase. The market’s existing home median sales price last month was $160,000; a year earlier it was $156,800 for an increase of 2 percent. A total of 65 condos sold in the MSA in April compared to 53 units sold the same month a year earlier for an increase of 23 percent. The existing condo median price last month was $187,100; a year earlier, it was $172,900 for an 8 percent gain.

© 2010 Florida Realtors®

Home Affordable Modification Program – Is Help On Its Way?

access_time

If you are like many American’s who purchase or refinanced their home during the heat of the real estate boom this could be the program that was designed to help YOU! Over the past 2 years I’ve been working to help many clients who have found themselves upside down and need financial help to correct their housing situation. It’s been a long and hard road for many of these good people whose lives have changed in one way or another.

Finally it looks like our government has taken a step in the right direction to streamline the process of helping these good hardworking people.

There are two program: The first is called HAMP, and this is how it works:
The Home Affordable Modification Program is designed to help as many as 3 to 4 million financially struggling homeowners avoid foreclosure by modifying loans to a level that is affordable for borrowers now and sustainable over the long term. The program provides clear and consistent loan modification guidelines that the entire mortgage industry can use.

Borrower eligibility is based on meeting specific criteria including:
1) borrower is delinquent on their mortgage or faces imminent risk of default
2) property is occupied as borrower’s primary residence
3) mortgage was originated on or before Jan. 1, 2009 and unpaid principal balance must be no greater than $729,750 for one-unit properties.

After determining a borrower’s eligibility, a servicer will take a series of steps to adjust the monthly mortgage payment to 31% of a borrower’s total pretax monthly income:

•First, reduce the interest rate to as low as 2%,
•Next, if necessary, extend the loan term to 40 years,
•Finally, if necessary, forbear (defer) a portion of the principal until the loan is paid off and waive interest on the deferred amount.
Note: Servicers may elect to forgive principal under HAMP on a stand alone basis or before any modification step in order to achieve the target monthly mortgage payment.
The Home Affordable Modification Program includes incentives for borrowers, servicers and investors.

If you can’t complete the HAMP program for one or a number of reasons than you maybe (should be able to) go in to the second program call HAFA.

Here is the info on HAFA: How HAFA Can Help

The Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) Program was designed to complement the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) by helping current homeowners with mortgage debt who are eligible for HAMP but still cannot keep their home.

When a borrower applies for help from HAMP, not everyone succeeds with the program. Sometimes their lender is unable to approve a loan modification. Other times the borrower declines the terms of the loan modification. Some borrowers are approved and accept the terms of the modification, but fail to complete the program for various reasons. Before HAFA, these borrowers were usually headed for foreclosure.

HAFA gives those borrowers a viable alternative to foreclosure. If they have or want to find a buyer for their home, they may request approval for a short sale with pre-approval short sale terms and minimum acceptable net proceeds. If not, they may request approval for a deed-in-lieu . When a borrower applies for help with one of the HAFA solutions, the program already has their financial and hardship information from their HAMP application.

HAFA also imposes limits on the lender to help the borrower. Under the terms of this program, a lender must release the borrower from all future liability for the first mortgage debt. The lender may not ask the borrower for cash or a promissory note, and the lender may not ask a court for a deficiency judgment. The program also prohibits the lender from asking the listing real estate agent to discount their commission at the closing of a short sale.

All documents have been standardized and procedures, time frames, and deadlines have been streamlined under HAFA to make the process easier for both borrowers and lenders.

HAFA also provides financial incentives for both borrowers and lenders to participate in the program. Borrowers are entitled to receive $1,500 in relocation assistance , to be paid at closing. Lenders or loan servicers may receive up to $1,000 to help with administrative costs. There are also financial incentives for the lender or investor on the first mortgage to allow some of the proceeds from the sale of the property to be paid to subordinate lienholders.

Finally, participation in the HAFA program puts the foreclosure process on hold for the borrower. The lender may initiate the foreclosure process, but if the borrower is in the middle of the application process, or if any approved short sale or deed-in-lieu agreement has not been completed or reached its deadline, the lender may not complete the foreclosure process.

 

There are a lot of people who need this information so please forward to a friend or RT on twitter

Florida expected to start adding residents

access_time

Florida expected to start adding residents again after population decline.

March 3, 2010 – It’s a small bounce, but Florida’s population should rebound this year from its first loss in more than half a century in a hopeful sign for the struggling state economy, new estimates from the University of Florida (UF) show.

The Sunshine State is expected to add about 23,000 residents between April 1, 2009, and April 1, 2010, following a loss of almost 57,000 residents the previous year, according to population projections released yesterday by UF’s Bureau of Economic and Business Research.

“Based on changes in electric customer data, we believe Florida’s population has increased slightly over the past year,” says bureau Director Stan Smith who led the research. “This may be an indication the state’s economy is no longer declining at the rate it had been before.”

Although the state’s unemployment rate remains very high, there are signs that the housing market is starting to pick up in a number of places. “It appears the state’s population loss was a one-year occurrence,” he says. “Even so, Florida’s growth will be very slow during the early years of the new decade.”

Not until 2014 or 2015 will the state return to annual population gains that are close to 300,000, the average annual increase over the past 30 to 40 years, Smith said. Population grew by more than 400,000 residents a year during the housing boom between 2003 and 2006.

The economy has such a big impact on Florida’s population growth because it drives migration, Smith says. People in their 20s, 30s and 40s who move to the state for jobs are the largest group of newcomers, followed by retirees and foreign immigrants.

“Even retirees are affected by economic conditions because of the housing market,” he says. “If it’s difficult for them to sell their homes, they may have to delay a retirement move to Florida even if that is what they had been planning to do.”

Due to the bursting of the housing bubble and the severe national recession, Florida lost more than 800,000 jobs between the fall of 2007 and the fall of 2009, and the state unemployment rate rose from about 4 to 11 percent. The declining economy led to a huge slowdown in population growth between 2007 and 2008 and a population loss between 2008 and 2009. The loss was the first since military personnel left the state at the end of World War II.

The bureau estimates the total number of state residents will grow from 18,750,000 to 18,773,000 between April 2009 and April 2010. According to long-term projections, state population is expected to reach approximately 21,247,000 in 2020, 22,574,000 in 2025, 23,821,000 in 2030, and 24,971,000 in 2035.

The biggest numerical increases forecast between 2010 and 2035 are in large counties. Orange County is projected to add the most new residents, 512,200; followed by Hillsborough, 471,800; and Miami-Dade, 457,200.

“Population growth has a lot of momentum in the sense that places that have been growing rapidly in one time period tend to grow rapidly in the following time period as well,” Smith says. “Large markets attract businesses and have more opportunities to draw job seekers. Also, migrants are often attracted by social and family connections with people who moved to an area previously.”

In terms of percentage increases, the biggest leaders over the next quarter century are projected to be Sumter and Flagler counties, growing by 111 percent and 109 percent, respectively.

“The main driving force to Sumter County’s growth is The Villages, a huge retirement community that has been adding a large numbers of residents,” Smith says. “Flagler County also has added a lot of retirees but has a rapidly growing working-age population as well.”

Monroe is the only county projected to lose population over the next 25 years, declining by about 4 percent. The county has little vacant land that can be developed and the area has a high cost of living. Some counties are expected to grow quite slowly, such as Pinellas, with an expected quarter century population increase of less than 2 percent. As the state’s most densely populated county, it has little available space.

First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit Fraud

access_time

The General Accountability Office has reportedly frozen more than 110,000 first-time home buyer tax credit refunds pending civil or criminal examinations due to allegations of fraud. The main concerns are whether or not a home purchase actually took place and if the home buyer claiming the credit is technically a first-time home buyer as defined by the IRS.

In another article about the possible first-time home buyer tax credit fraud, reporter Dawn Kopecki reports that children as young as four years old have improperly received the first-time home buyer tax credit. And, according to the Treasury’s J. Russel George, who testified before Congress recently: “They [IRS] also found that 580 taxpayers under 18 years old and therefore ineligible to buy a home claimed almost $4 million in tax credits.”

The first-time home buyer tax credit ends Nov. 30, 2009. If you do not have a property under contract by the end of October 2009 it will almost be impossible to complete the sale unless you are paying cash!

Fed survey shows U.S. recession may be over

access_time

WASHINGTON (AP) – Sept. 10, 2009 – The recession is ending and the U.S. economy is finally growing again.

That’s the message implicit in the Federal Reserve’s latest survey of businesses around the country, which found economic activity stabilizing or improving in most regions.

Economists warn the expansion is fragile and will have staying power only if consumers start spending more money. Rising unemployment that keeps Americans cautious could make for a plodding recovery in the months ahead.

The Labor Department will report on Thursday the number of new jobless claims filed last week, which could indicate whether the incipient recovery is slowing the pace of layoffs.

Wall Street economists expect that first-time claims for unemployment insurance benefits fell to a seasonally adjusted 560,000 from 570,000 the previous week, according to a survey by Thomson Reuters.

Economists closely watch initial claims, which are considered a gauge of layoffs and an indication of companies’ willingness to hire new workers.

While the figures are volatile, first-time claims have trended downward in recent months. Initial claims topped 600,000 for most of this year, until falling below that level in early July.

The total number of people receiving benefits, meanwhile, is expected to drop by about 30,000 to 6.2 million. The figures on so-called continuing claims lag initial claims by a week.

All but one of the Fed’s 12 regions, meanwhile, indicated economic activity either was “stable,” showed “signs of stabilization” or had “firmed,” according to the Fed’s survey. The one exception was the St. Louis region, which reported the economic decline is “moderating.”

Businesses in most Fed regions said they were “cautiously positive” about the economic road ahead. The survey, known as the Beige Book, does not include precise figures.

Analysts predict the economy is growing in the current quarter, which ends Sept. 30, at an annual rate of 3 percent to 4 percent. That’s mostly because businesses, which had slashed investments during the recession, are spending more.

Auto sales have been lifted by the government’s recently ended Cash for Clunkers program. Manufacturing and the battered housing market, which led the country into recession when it collapsed, have also shown signs of improvement.

The problem for the economy is that the expected growth this quarter comes mainly from the auto companies and other manufacturers, which are refilling their depleted stockpiles.

Those inventories had dwindled as factories and retailers sought to bring what they had more in line with reduced sales. Any robust growth in the economy might be short-lived if shoppers don’t step up their spending.

In the Fed survey, most regions of the country reported that the clunkers program had boosted sales. Other merchants struggled. And consumer spending remained soft in most places.

Still, the assessments of businesses on the front lines of the economy were brighter than those they provided for the last edition of the Fed survey in late July.

At that time, most regions of the country reflected only that the recession was easing its grip. “That’s a pretty significant change in tone from the previous Fed report,” said Brian Bethune, economist at IHS Global Insight.

The survey’s findings will figure into discussions when Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues meet Sept. 22-23. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates at record lows, probably for some time, to help nurture the recovery.

“There are presently some signs that the economy is stabilizing and even reviving in certain areas, despite mixed signals,” Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said in a speech in Texas.

The market for homes is still weak — though it flashed some signs of improvement. In most places, buyer demand was stronger for cheaper homes, and in and around Philadelphia, sales were up for more expensive homes, too.

Fed regions credited a tax incentive for first-time homebuyers with increasing sales. Home prices kept falling in most parts of the country, though in the Dallas and New York regions, the survey found prices “firming.”

In a sign that lenders’ efforts to help troubled mortgage holders may be helping, the number of U.S. households threatened with losing their homes held steady last month, RealtyTrac Inc. reported Thursday.

The number of foreclosure-related filings — including default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — remains 18 percent higher than a year ago.

There was plenty of bad news in the survey. In the commercial real estate market, demand stayed weak, and construction fell in all parts of the country. And the job market was still sickly all over the nation.

The nation’s unemployment rate, which stood at 9.7 percent in August, could top 10 percent this year. Fisher, of the Dallas Fed, called for “uncomfortably high unemployment” as businesses keep cutting costs.

New Home construction up for fifth month in a row!

access_time

WASHINGTON – Aug. 19, 2009 – At least the market for new homes isn’t getting worse anymore, and that’s the first step to getting better.

In fact, the overall economy is actually getting a small boost as more buyers walk into model houses ready to sign contracts and builders hire workers to pour foundations and pave roads.

Construction of single-family homes rose in July for the fifth straight month, edging up almost 2 percent to the highest level since last October, the government said Tuesday. Building permits climbed nearly 6 percent.

Each new home built creates about three jobs on average and generates about $90,000 in taxes paid to local and federal authorities, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

With new construction up 37 percent from its low point this winter, the industry is expected to help the overall economy this quarter for the first time in three and a half years.

“Housing is no longer a drag,” said Mark Vitner, a senior economist with Wells Fargo. “That’s a good thing.”

Of course, the housing industry is coming back from the worst recession since the Great Depression, and construction is still more than 70 percent from its 2006 peak. So the impact from hiring and spending on materials like wood and concrete is modest.

In addition, hammers are silent at construction sites for apartment buildings. For developers, it makes little sense to build when there are so many vacant homes and condominiums for rent. Apartment construction fell 13 percent from June to July.

That pulled the combined construction rate for homes and apartments down 1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 581,000 units, from 587,000 in June. Economists polled by Thomson Reuters expected 600,000.

There are still several threats to the recovery of the U.S. housing market.

The unemployment rate, now 9.4 percent, could surpass 10 percent, leaving more homeowners unable to pay their mortgages. Interest rates are still near historic lows but could rise, making homes less affordable. Foreclosures are still at record highs.

And July was the last month that most builders could start new homes and have first-time buyers qualify for a new tax credit. Buyers can save 10 percent on the price of a home, up to $8,000 in taxes, if they complete the purchase by the end of November.

Builders and real estate agents are pressing in Congress for that credit to be extended. If it isn’t, sales could easily slump again.

“I’m not seeing a tremendous amount of good news on the job or economic front, so I do think it’s important that the credit get extended,” said Richard Dugas Jr., CEO of Pulte Homes Inc.

On Tuesday, Pulte completed its acquisition of Centex Corp. for $1.53 billion in stock, becoming the largest homebuilder in the country.

One of the reasons for the purchase was Centex’s focus on more affordable homes. Since the housing bubble burst, many builders have shifted to smaller houses that can be sold at lower prices to woo first-time homebuyers. The median sale price for a new home was $206,200 in June, almost $30,000 cheaper than a year earlier.

More homebuyers also means more business to retailers like Home Depot Inc., which on Tuesday posted its first annual increase in quarterly sales transactions in five years. Better still, the retailer saw improvements in Florida and California, two of its most important – and troubled – markets.

Sales of new homes have posted monthly increases since April. The Commerce Department reports on July new home sales numbers Aug. 26. Sales are expected to rise roughly 2 percent, according to economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters.

Economists pronounce the recession over

access_time

NEW YORK – Aug. 13, 2009 – The majority of economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal say the recession is over and Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke deserves another term.

Of the 47 economists the newspaper surveyed, 27 said the recession has ended and 11 predict another trough this month or next. The rest refused to commit. But they were nearly unanimous in saying that Bernanke should be rehired.

“He deserves a lot of credit for stabilizing the financial markets,” says Joseph Carson of AllianceBernstein. “Confidence in recovery would be damaged if he was not reappointed.”

Poll respondents believe Bernanke has more than a 70 percent chance of being asked by President Barack Obama to remain at the helm of the central bank.

Gross domestic product is expected to grow 2.4 percent in the third quarter at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. Economists were also heartened by a better-than-expected jobless report in July.